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The BJP’s demand for a bigger seat share within the meeting elections —a key cause for the alliance talks with the Biju Janata Dal(BJD) breaking down in Odisha earlier than Lok Sabha and state polls — was primarily based on 4 inside surveys that confirmed the occasion gaining floor within the state, leaders conscious of the matter mentioned on Saturday.
Talks between the BJP and the BJD over a proposed pre-poll alliance in Odisha forward of the Lok Sabha and meeting polls subsequent month broke down on Friday three weeks after they started, with each events asserting that they’d struggle all 147 meeting seats and 21 Lok Sabha seats alone.
Meeting and Lok Sabha polls are scheduled concurrently within the jap state, which votes in 4 phases starting on Could 13 and ending on June 1.
In response to folks acquainted with the matter, the 2 events had nearly finalised a seat pact within the first week starting March 6, with the BJP getting 47 seats and the BJD 100 within the meeting elections. Equally, for the Lok Sabha polls, each the events had reached a deal that the BJP would contest 14 seats and the BJD seven.
“The essential Bhubaneswar and Puri Lok Sabha seats, nonetheless, remained a sticking level between the 2,” a frontrunner conscious of the matter mentioned, including that whereas the BJD agreed to cede Bhubaneswar to the BJP, it didn’t wish to let go of the distinguished Puri Lok Sabha seat. “The BJP state unit’s persistent demand for a bigger share of seats threw a spanner within the negotiations,” the functionary mentioned, including that the BJP had demanded 65-70 seats within the meeting, citing 4 inside surveys that the Naveen Patnaik authorities’s reputation “continued to wane’’.
A senior BJP chief, who was a part of the dialogue, mentioned: “The primary survey carried out by the occasion in December final 12 months confirmed that the BJP is prone to win something between 32 and 60 meeting seats… whereas the BJD was prone to win between 80 and 95 seats… The identical survey confirmed that BJP was prone to win 15 Lok Sabha seats…”
“Thereafter there have been 3 extra surveys which confirmed that BJP would win round 60 meeting seats…Moreover, surveys by few credible pollsters additionally confirmed that our occasion was gaining on the expense of BJD whereas the recognition of Patnaik continued to wane.”
To make certain, it’s not an unusual apply for political events to fee surveys to evaluate the scenario on the bottom. These, nonetheless, usually are not all the time dependable indicators of electoral outcomes, significantly when held months earlier than an election.
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