Naveen Patnaik’s charisma still strong, may get another term as Odisha CM — A SWOT analysis

The politics of Odisha has been ruled by Chief Minister and Biju Janata Dal (BJD) chief Naveen Patnaik for over twenty years as he continues to take care of a stronghold within the state decimating his Opposition.

The Bharatiya Janata Celebration has expanded its affect within the state and the Congress stands at third place. Patnaik, at 77, has been ruling the state since 2000, and successful this time period would make him the longest-serving chief minister, surpassing Sikkim’s Pawan Chamling.

Odisha will vote for each Lok Sabha and state Meeting polls in 4 phases on Might 13, 20, 25 and June 1. The state has 21 Parliamentary constituencies and 147 Meeting seats.

Right here is the SWOT evaluation of events in Odisha:

BJD

Strengths:

• CM Naveen Patnaik’s charisma stays intact even after ruling the state for twenty-four years. His clear picture and recognition for his simplicity are the largest of the get together.
• Of the 4.5 crore inhabitants of the state, the BJD has a membership of over 1 crore and a devoted cadre.
• The get together has focussed on girls voters and the CM’s girls empowerment actions have created a stable vote financial institution for the get together.

Weaknesses

• There is no such thing as a tall chief besides Patnaik within the get together to draw voters.
• The get together has been battling anti-incumbency for twenty-four years.
• The get together has over 100 MLAs however there is no such thing as a second in command who can handle the get together’s affairs within the absence of Patnaik.
• BJD’s delicate inclination in direction of the NDA authorities on the Centre. The get together has helped the Centre in passing essential payments within the Parliament.

Alternatives

• Being Odisha’s greatest political get together, it is a chance for the get together to rule the state by portraying its achievements.

Threats

• Many leaders have left the BJD and joined the BJP which can hamper the regional get together’s ballot prospects.
• There are dissidents or insurgent leaders in all of the 147 Meeting and 21 Lok Sabha seats. As many as 10,000 aspirants have utilized for get together tickets for each state and normal elections.
• Stories of discrimination in implementing welfare schemes could create issues for BJD.

BJP

After BJP’s ties with BJD led to 2009, the previous has remained a politically non-performer within the state. It’s step by step creating its base with the rise within the reputation of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. It’s now the primary opposition get together within the state.

Strengths

• PM Modi is the BJP’s greatest energy within the state. A number of opinion polls have concluded that Modi is the preferred nationwide chief in Odisha.
• The consecration ceremony of Ram Mandir in Ayodhya has strengthened BJP’s base within the state.

Weaknesses

• BJP doesn’t have a pacesetter within the state who can match the picture and stature of CM Patnaik. Its leaders are largely restricted to sure constituencies.
• The get together lacks reference to the RSS cadre and ABVP members throughout the state.
• The infighting amongst senior leaders is one other weak spot of the get together.

Alternatives

• The get together can money in on the anti-incumbency issue that has began hitting the ruling BJD.
• The Congress shouldn’t be a significant pressure within the state permitting the saffron get together to take advantage of.

Threats

• BJP leaders are largely urban-centric and get together connections with the grassroots are much less. There is no such thing as a programme for the village-level leaders which retains them politically idle.
• There’s infighting within the get together with BJD turncoats getting a ticket for Meeting polls.

Congress

The get together has not been in energy in Odisha for over 24 years. Since 2019, it has misplaced the second spot within the state to the BJP.

Strengths

• The Congress has not made any electoral progress in Odisha however its persons are nonetheless there in all of the 314 blocks of the state. Folks nonetheless recognise Congress because the oldest get together.
• The get together’s energy lies within the unpopularity of rival events.

Weaknesses

• The get together lacks unity amongst leaders and the prevailing crab tradition within the get together. The leaders proceed to struggle in opposition to one another for a publish.
• The state unit doesn’t have a lot backing from the central management.

Alternatives

• The get together is the pure opposition selection for folks and it is a chance for the Congress to make a dent within the vote share of BJP and BJD.
• The get together is on the lowest in Odisha and any acquire will probably be vital for the Congress.

Risk

• The get together faces a powerful useful resource shortage within the state. Regardless that 3,000 folks utilized for get together tickets for 168 seats, a lot of them confronted funds shortages.
• Each Modi and Patnaik being on the peak of recognition, may additionally work in opposition to the Congress’s electoral prospects.

2019 election consequence

Within the 2019 normal elections, the BJD had emerged because the winner with 12 seats whereas the saffron get together managed to get 8 seats out of a complete of 23 within the state, leaving the Congress approach behind at 1 seat.

In 2019, the BJD secured victory in 112 meeting seats and shaped the federal government, whereas the BJP gained 23 seats, marking a rise of 13 from its 2014 tally. By way of vote share, the BJP acquired 32.5%, whereas the BJD bagged 44.7%. The grand outdated get together was confined to 9 seats with solely 16.1% of the vote share.

With inputs from PTI