No ‘friendly fight’ in Odisha — BJD fields ‘tough’ candidates after BJP decides against alliance

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Take, as an illustration, the Puri seat, the place the BJD has pitted former Mumbai police commissioner Arup Patnaik in opposition to BJP nationwide spokesperson Sambit Patra. In 2019, Patnaik, a local of Puri, had contested from Bhubaneswar and misplaced to the BJP’s Aparajita Sarangi by 23,839 votes. Patra, who contested from Puri, misplaced to the BJD’s Pinaki Misra by 11,714 votes. This time, the BJD has dropped Misra, a four-time MP. 

An Odisha-based political analyst who didn’t need to be named informed ThePrint that Puri has large sentimental significance for the state. In 2019, the BJD gained 5 of the seven meeting segments that type a part of the Puri Lok Sabha constituency. The BJP gained the remaining two seats.

“The BJD will go all out to retain the seat. On the identical time, Patra’s stature has additionally gone up inside the BJP since 2019. The BJP may also put its would possibly there to wrestle the seat,” the analyst stated. 

There’s no such factor as a pleasant combat in an election, based on Odisha BJP president Manmohan Samal. “The BJP is gearing up for a full-on combat with the BJD. On the one hand, there may be an anti-wave in opposition to Naveen Patnaik and however, Modi ji’s work is being appreciated. We’re assured of enhancing our efficiency in comparison with 2019,” he stated.  

In 2019, whereas the BJD had gained 12 of the 21 seats and secured a vote share of 43.32 %, the BJP had gained in 8 seats and obtained 38.88 % of the vote. The Congress managed to win just one seat with a vote share of 13.99 %. 

In Odisha, as in 2019, this yr’s Lok Sabha elections and meeting polls might be held concurrently over 4 phases, beginning 13 Might. 


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A number of powerful contests

Sambalpur, Bhubaneswar, Cuttack, Kendrapara, Dhenkanal, Nabarangpur and Berhampur are among the many different seats which might be prone to see powerful fights, with each the BJD and the BJP placing up sturdy candidates.

In Sambalpur in western Odisha, the BJD has pitted its organisational secretary and Jajpur MLA, Pranab Prakash Das, in opposition to Union training minister Dharmendra Pradhan. In 2019, the seat was gained by the BJP’s Nitesh Ganga Deb, who was denied a ticket this time. Of the seven meeting seats which might be a part of the Sambalpur parliamentary constituency, the BJD gained 4 seats whereas the BJP gained three in 2019. 

“Das isn’t from western Odisha however being the BJD’s organisational secretary, he’s very resourceful. The occasion will put its organisational energy behind him. However the BJP’s Pradhan, being the Union training minister, additionally carries numerous heft. Theoretically, the benefit is with the BJP due to the notion that if Pradhan wins, he would possibly get a ministerial place and may do much more for Sambalpur. It’s unlikely that even when Das wins, he’ll be capable to do a lot… he isn’t going to turn into a minister on the Centre,” stated Ruben Banerjee, former editor of Outlook, who has adopted Patnaik since his early days and has chronicled his political journey in his e book, Naveen Patnaik.

Bhubaneswar is one other seat that’s set to see a high-profile contest. Right here, it’ll be between the incumbent MP, Aparajita Sarangi of the BJP, and the BJD’s Manmath Routray, who might be contesting his debut election. A industrial pilot, Manmath is the son of Suresh Routray, a Congress chief and sitting MLA from Odisha’s Jatani meeting seat — a part of the Bhubaneswar Lok Sabha constituency — which he has gained six instances.  

Though the BJP’s Sarangi gained the seat in 2019, Bhubaneswar is taken into account a BJD stronghold. “The BJD has a robust organisational presence there, proper as much as the sales space stage. Of the seven meeting segments within the parliamentary constituency, the BJD gained all however one seat in 2019. It will likely be a troublesome contest as Sarangi can also be sturdy and gained the seat in 2019,” Bhabani Sankar Tripathy, information editor of the Odia day by day Sambad, informed ThePrint. 

Suresh Routray, Manmath’s father, had resigned from all committees of the Congress after his son joined the BJD. Now, regardless of nonetheless being a member of the Congress, political commentators say the MLA — who first gained the Jatani meeting seat on a Janata Occasion ticket in 1977 — will assist his son. 

Kendrapara may also witness a troublesome contest between the BJD’s Anshuman Mohanty, a former Congress MLA who defected in February, and the BJP’s Baijayant Panda. In 2019, Panda had misplaced to Odia actor and BJD candidate Anubhav Mohanty.   

Kendrapara is actually a BJD stronghold. The occasion gained all seven meeting seats that fall on this Lok Sabha constituency in 2019.

“The BJD has put up Anshuman, who’s the son of Nalini Kanta Mohanty, a former working president of the BJD and influential minister in Naveen Patnaik’s cupboard earlier than he was sacked from the occasion,” stated a former BJD chief who didn’t need to be named. 

Nonetheless, the previous BJD chief added that though Panda — who joined the BJP forward of the 2019 elections — contested from Kendrapara and was defeated final time, his stature inside the BJP has grown up to now 5 years. “He’s a nationwide vp and has additionally been made the Uttar Pradesh in-charge for the elections. It’s going to be one of many high-profile contests,” the chief stated. 

In Berhampur, the BJP has put up Pradeep Panigrahy — as soon as the right-hand man of CM Patnaik, now his vocal critic — in opposition to the BJD’s Chandra Sekhar Sahu. Panigrahy, the sitting MLA from Gopalpur, who as soon as dealt with issues within the CM’s meeting seat, Hinjili, on his behalf, was expelled from the BJD in 2020 for “anti-people actions” and was later arrested by the state police in a case of alleged job fraud. He joined the BJP in February. A part of Patnaik’s dwelling district, Ganjam, falls within the Berhampur parliamentary constituency. 


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‘Strategic alliance’

Regardless of the powerful electoral contests within the offing, former Union minister and outstanding Odia politician Srikant Jena — who returned to the Congress earlier this month after being expelled in 2019 — believes the BJP and the BJD will preserve a “strategic alliance”. 

“The BJD supported the BJP on all points in Parliament… they supported Union minister Ashwini Vaishnaw’s Rajya Sabha candidature not as soon as however twice. PM Modi and Naveen Patnaik by no means assault one another. I name it a strategic alliance… no matter whoever wins, it’s going to be one basket,” Jena stated.  

Based on Jena, though most of the seats will see high-profile contests, will probably be a “pretend combat”. “It’s one household… Can Naveen Patnaik say that the BJD won’t ever lengthen assist to the BJP? The CM must make clear if he agrees with the BJP ideologically. Except he clarifies, it’s going to be a pretend combat,” he added.

Jena stated the BJP’s state unit didn’t need an alliance with the BJD, though the central management pushed for it. 

“If there was an alliance, the BJP would have been sidelined in about 100 meeting seats. The BJD, very cunningly, would have pushed out the BJP in nearly 100 seats. In an alliance, the BJP thought they may lose extra and the BJD would have gained. That’s the reason the alliance broke,” Jena stated. 

Banerjee is of the view that the BJD was keener on an alliance as a result of it needed to tame and silence BJP by preserving the latter on its aspect. “It will have given them insurance coverage that the state authorities of Naveen Patnaik would proceed with out ED/CBI raids. By preserving the BJP in your aspect, you might be silencing the principal Opposition. Now that has not labored. So, I feel this election might be fought after which they are going to take it from there,” he stated. 

Nonetheless, he added that one mustn’t count on Patnaik and the BJP to half methods. “Submit elections, will probably be the identical story as 2019, with the BJD supporting the BJP in all necessary points in Parliament regardless of not being in alliance,” he stated. 

Assist for Patnaik however anger in opposition to Pandian, ‘Modi wave’

Based on political analysts, though Patnaik continues to have numerous assist in Odisha, there may be palpable anger in opposition to the CM’s shut aide V.K. Pandian, who took voluntary retirement from the IAS and joined the BJD final yr.

Analysts say that Pandian touring the state and attending rallies on behalf of Patnaik has not gone down nicely with the individuals. “They see him as an outsider… any individual who’s making an attempt to thrust himself on the individuals. That is in contrast to the sentiment that was there for Naveen Patnaik, who shaped the BJD after his father’s demise. He was not thought of an outsider, regardless of not figuring out the Odia language. He was thought of a son of the soil,” stated the previous BJD chief, quoted earlier. 

The chief additional stated: “This election might be powerful… it’s not going to be simple. There may be an underlying pro-Modi wave in Odisha. Pandian’s entry has broken the picture of the BJD. The vote won’t go in opposition to Naveen Patnaik, however will probably be in opposition to Pandian. I feel the Modi wave we’re seeing in Odisha at present is due to the negativity in direction of Pandian, not due to a optimistic love in direction of Modi.”

Banerjee concurs. “The Modi wave in Odisha has been created by the exuberance of Mr Pandian. That has not gone down nicely with the individuals. It’s the recognition of Modi versus the unpopularity of Pandian that’s going to break the BJD’s well-laid-out plans within the state,” he stated. 

(Edited by Rohan Manoj)


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